WC Qual. Oceania Final
Global 5-0
Australia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1997 |
NZL
0 - 3
AUS
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1997 |
TAH
0 - 2
AUS
21%
28%
51%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1997 |
SOL
2 - 6
AUS
21%
28%
51%
|
86 | 41 | 45 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1997 |
AUS
5 - 0
TAH
76%
17%
7%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
AUS
13 - 0
SOL
78%
17%
6%
|
86 | 38 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1997 |
NZL
0 - 3
AUS
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1997 |
NZL
5 - 0
FIJ
79%
15%
7%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
NZL
7 - 0
PNG
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1997 |
FIJ
0 - 1
NZL
23%
26%
51%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
PNG
1 - 0
NZL
20%
26%
55%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |