Australia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
9.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
IDN
1 - 4
AUS
45%
22%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
AUS
1 - 3
ISR
73%
15%
13%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
AUS
1 - 0
ISR
71%
15%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1971 |
AUS
2 - 2
ISR
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1970 |
MEX
3 - 0
AUS
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1969 |
SGP
0 - 2
NZL
32%
23%
45%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1968 |
NZL
5 - 0
FIJ
88%
8%
4%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1967 |
MAS
2 - 8
NZL
50%
21%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 1967 |
PRK
5 - 1
NZL
23%
22%
55%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1967 |
SGP
1 - 3
NZL
46%
22%
32%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |