Australia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.2%
9.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
MAS
0 - 3
AUS
35%
21%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1965 |
MAS
0 - 1
AUS
37%
21%
42%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1965 |
TWN
1 - 3
AUS
33%
21%
46%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1965 |
HKG
1 - 0
AUS
35%
21%
44%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1965 |
KHM
0 - 0
AUS
29%
20%
51%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1958 |
NZL
2 - 2
AUS
47%
19%
33%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1958 |
NZL
2 - 3
AUS
48%
19%
33%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1954 |
AUS
4 - 1
NZL
83%
10%
8%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1954 |
AUS
4 - 1
NZL
82%
10%
8%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1954 |
AUS
1 - 2
NZL
84%
9%
7%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | +1 |