Australia vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
BRA
3 - 0
AUS
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
AUS
0 - 3
BRA
75%
16%
8%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
AUS
1 - 0
YUG
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1988 |
AUS
0 - 2
BRA
21%
27%
53%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1988 |
AUS
4 - 1
ARG
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
NGA
1 - 3
YUG
73%
19%
8%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
BRA
4 - 0
NGA
45%
29%
27%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
CMR
1 - 0
NGA
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
NGA
1 - 1
ALG
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
NGA
0 - 0
EGY
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |