Australia vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
AUS
2 - 0
BHR
64%
23%
13%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
QAT
0 - 0
AUS
30%
29%
42%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
AUS
2 - 0
UZB
62%
23%
15%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
AUS
0 - 1
KWT
80%
15%
6%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
JPN
0 - 0
AUS
50%
27%
23%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
JPN
1 - 1
QAT
70%
20%
10%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
UZB
0 - 1
JPN
21%
25%
54%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
JPN
4 - 0
BEL
50%
26%
24%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
JPN
4 - 0
CHI
49%
27%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
JPN
1 - 0
BHR
69%
21%
10%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |