Australia vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2006 |
LIE
1 - 3
AUS
9%
21%
70%
|
90 | 21 | 69 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
NED
1 - 1
AUS
74%
18%
8%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
AUS
1 - 0
GRC
42%
29%
29%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
BHR
1 - 3
AUS
12%
21%
67%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
AUS
1 - 0
URU
28%
24%
48%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
MLT
0 - 1
JPN
15%
24%
62%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
GER
2 - 2
JPN
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
JPN
0 - 0
SCO
54%
25%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2006 |
JPN
1 - 2
BGR
53%
26%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
JPN
1 - 0
ECU
60%
24%
16%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |