Australia vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.3%
9.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1955 |
AUS
1 - 4
RSA
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1955 |
AUS
0 - 6
RSA
57%
19%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1955 |
AUS
0 - 8
RSA
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1955 |
AUS
0 - 2
RSA
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1955 |
AUS
0 - 3
RSA
64%
17%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1954 |
IND
3 - 2
JPN
42%
21%
38%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1954 |
IDN
5 - 3
JPN
43%
20%
37%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1951 |
IRN
3 - 2
JPN
50%
20%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1951 |
JPN
2 - 0
AFG
83%
10%
7%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1951 |
IRN
0 - 0
JPN
52%
19%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |