Australia vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.7%
13.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1970 |
MEX
3 - 0
AUS
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1970 |
GRC
1 - 3
AUS
47%
21%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1970 |
ISR
0 - 1
AUS
46%
22%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
AUS
0 - 2
GRC
68%
16%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1969 |
AUS
2 - 2
GRC
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1971 |
ISR
2 - 1
SWE
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1970 |
ISR
0 - 1
AUS
46%
22%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1970 |
ITA
0 - 0
ISR
85%
10%
6%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
SWE
1 - 1
ISR
83%
11%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
URU
2 - 0
ISR
73%
15%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |