Australia vs Cook Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.8%
4.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
AUS
3 - 1
FIJ
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1998 |
CRO
7 - 0
AUS
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
AUS
0 - 3
JPN
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
AUS
1 - 0
KOR
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
AUS
0 - 1
CHI
40%
28%
32%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
COK
2 - 1
PNG
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
SAM
2 - 1
COK
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1996 |
TON
2 - 0
COK
18%
25%
57%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
2 - 0
COK
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1995 |
COK
3 - 3
FIJ
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |