Australia vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
AUS
1 - 1
NIR
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1980 |
AUS
1 - 2
NIR
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1980 |
AUS
1 - 2
ENG
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1980 |
AUS
4 - 2
TAH
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1980 |
AUS
1 - 0
VAN
87%
8%
4%
|
77 | 34 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
AUS
1 - 1
NIR
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1980 |
AUS
1 - 2
NIR
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1980 |
WAL
0 - 1
NIR
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1980 |
ENG
1 - 1
NIR
84%
12%
3%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1980 |
NIR
1 - 0
SCO
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |