Australia vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1980 |
AUS
1 - 2
ENG
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1980 |
AUS
4 - 2
TAH
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1980 |
AUS
1 - 0
VAN
87%
8%
4%
|
77 | 34 | 43 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1980 |
AUS
11 - 2
PNG
87%
9%
5%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
AUS
8 - 0
NCL
87%
9%
5%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1980 |
WAL
0 - 1
NIR
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1980 |
ENG
1 - 1
NIR
84%
12%
3%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1980 |
NIR
1 - 0
SCO
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
ISR
0 - 0
NIR
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
NIR
1 - 0
IRL
51%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |