Australia vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
RSA
1 - 1
AUS
29%
29%
42%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
AUS
2 - 2
NOR
32%
28%
40%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
AUS
6 - 0
SOL
88%
10%
2%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
SOL
1 - 5
AUS
3%
13%
84%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
AUS
2 - 2
SOL
87%
11%
3%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
IRQ
1 - 1
NPL
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
UAE
1 - 1
IRQ
22%
22%
56%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2004 |
QAT
3 - 3
IRQ
37%
26%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
IRQ
1 - 3
OMA
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
IRQ
3 - 1
YEM
86%
11%
4%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |