WC Qual. Asia Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Australia vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
13%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
0 - 2
BGR
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
1 - 3
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
2 - 2
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
PHL
0 - 6
AUS
31%
21%
48%
|
77 | 38 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1972 |
KOR
0 - 2
AUS
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1973 |
NZL
0 - 0
IRN
44%
22%
34%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1972 |
IRN
1 - 0
BRA
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1972 |
DEN
4 - 0
IRN
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
HUN
5 - 0
IRN
85%
9%
6%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1972 |
CHI
2 - 1
IRN
69%
17%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |