Australia vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1980 |
AUS
4 - 2
TAH
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1980 |
AUS
1 - 0
VAN
87%
8%
4%
|
77 | 34 | 43 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1980 |
AUS
11 - 2
PNG
87%
9%
5%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
AUS
8 - 0
NCL
87%
9%
5%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
AUS
2 - 2
CSK
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1980 |
SCO
0 - 2
ENG
29%
27%
44%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1980 |
ENG
1 - 1
NIR
84%
12%
3%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
WAL
4 - 1
ENG
17%
25%
58%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1980 |
ENG
3 - 1
ARG
62%
22%
16%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
ESP
0 - 2
ENG
37%
27%
36%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |