Australia vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
11 - 0
NCL
86%
11%
3%
|
90 | 39 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
2 - 0
VAN
86%
11%
3%
|
90 | 35 | 55 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
URU
3 - 0
AUS
50%
25%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2001 |
AUS
1 - 0
URU
34%
27%
40%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
AUS
1 - 1
FRA
14%
24%
62%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2002 |
FIJ
0 - 1
VAN
85%
11%
5%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
FIJ
2 - 1
NCL
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
TON
1 - 8
FIJ
3%
15%
82%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
FIJ
0 - 2
AUS
6%
20%
74%
|
55 | 89 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
SAM
1 - 6
FIJ
12%
21%
66%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |