Australia vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
81.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
AUS
2 - 3
NED
10%
17%
74%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
AUS
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 0
AUS
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
AUS
1 - 1
RSA
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
AUS
3 - 4
ECU
39%
28%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 2
CHI
72%
17%
10%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 5
NED
55%
22%
23%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SLV
0 - 2
ESP
4%
12%
85%
|
97 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 0
BOL
87%
10%
3%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
11%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |