Australia vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
SCO
2 - 0
AUS
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1985 |
AUS
3 - 0
CHN
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1984 |
CHN
3 - 2
AUS
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
SGP
2 - 4
AUS
20%
24%
55%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1983 |
KOR
1 - 3
AUS
60%
24%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
SCO
2 - 0
AUS
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
SCO
0 - 0
DDR
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1985 |
WAL
1 - 1
SCO
41%
28%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1985 |
ISL
0 - 1
SCO
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
SCO
1 - 0
ENG
35%
28%
38%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |