Australia vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1992 |
AUS
1 - 0
CRO
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1992 |
URU
2 - 0
AUS
64%
24%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1992 |
ARG
2 - 0
AUS
69%
21%
10%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
AUS
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
AUS
1 - 0
SWE
33%
29%
39%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1992 |
AUS
1 - 0
CRO
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1991 |
SVN
0 - 1
CRO
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1990 |
CRO
2 - 0
ROU
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
CRO
7 - 3
SVK
69%
16%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 1943 |
SVK
1 - 3
CRO
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |