Australia vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
AUS
54%
27%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
AUS
53%
27%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
IDN
0 - 3
AUS
18%
24%
58%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
AUS
2 - 0
NZL
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
NZL
1 - 2
AUS
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
CSK
3 - 2
ESP
45%
27%
27%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1990 |
FRA
2 - 1
CSK
57%
26%
17%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
CSK
1 - 0
ISL
80%
15%
5%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1990 |
FIN
1 - 1
CSK
28%
30%
42%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1990 |
CSK
0 - 1
BRD
38%
27%
35%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |