Australia vs Czechoslovakia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
33.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1986 |
AUS
0 - 1
CSK
38%
29%
33%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1986 |
AUS
1 - 1
CSK
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1985 |
AUS
0 - 0
SCO
40%
29%
31%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
SCO
2 - 0
AUS
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1985 |
AUS
3 - 0
CHN
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1986 |
AUS
0 - 1
CSK
38%
29%
33%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1986 |
AUS
1 - 1
CSK
38%
29%
33%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1986 |
ISL
1 - 2
CSK
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1986 |
CSK
0 - 1
IRL
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
CSK
2 - 0
DDR
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |