Australia vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
1 - 3
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
2 - 2
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
PHL
0 - 6
AUS
31%
21%
48%
|
77 | 38 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1972 |
KOR
0 - 2
AUS
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
KOR
1 - 1
AUS
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
1 - 3
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
AUS
2 - 2
BGR
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
IDN
0 - 4
BGR
33%
25%
43%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 2
BGR
35%
25%
41%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
CYP
0 - 3
BGR
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |