Australia vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
PHL
0 - 6
AUS
31%
21%
48%
|
77 | 38 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1972 |
KOR
0 - 2
AUS
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
KOR
1 - 1
AUS
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
VIE
0 - 1
AUS
22%
20%
57%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
PRK
0 - 1
AUS
29%
21%
50%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
IDN
0 - 4
BGR
33%
25%
43%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1973 |
GRC
2 - 2
BGR
35%
25%
41%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
CYP
0 - 3
BGR
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
CYP
0 - 4
BGR
23%
23%
54%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1972 |
BGR
3 - 0
NIR
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |