WC Play Offs Final
Global 1-2
Australia vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
40.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
KOR
1 - 0
AUS
51%
28%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1993 |
KOR
1 - 1
AUS
51%
28%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1993 |
AUS
2 - 1
CAN
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1993 |
CAN
2 - 1
AUS
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
AUS
3 - 0
NZL
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
ARG
0 - 5
COL
66%
23%
11%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
66%
22%
12%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
75%
19%
7%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
COL
2 - 1
ARG
27%
29%
44%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 3
ARG
26%
29%
46%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | +1 |