Australia vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1974 |
DDR
2 - 0
AUS
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1974 |
ISR
2 - 1
AUS
44%
22%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1974 |
IDN
1 - 2
AUS
35%
23%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
AUS
2 - 0
URU
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1974 |
AUS
0 - 0
URU
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1974 |
BRD
1 - 0
CHI
84%
10%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
BRD
5 - 0
HUN
59%
22%
19%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
BRD
2 - 1
FRA
82%
12%
5%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1973 |
BRD
4 - 0
AUT
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1973 |
BRD
0 - 1
YUG
72%
17%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |