WC Qual. Oceania Final
Global 9-1
Australia vs Solomon Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.7%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.4%
2.4%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
AUS
0 - 2
TUN
60%
23%
18%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
AUS
2 - 4
ARG
7%
15%
78%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
GER
4 - 3
AUS
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2005 |
AUS
1 - 0
NZL
67%
21%
12%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
AUS
3 - 0
IDN
69%
20%
11%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
AUS
6 - 0
SOL
88%
10%
2%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
SOL
1 - 5
AUS
3%
13%
84%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
AUS
2 - 2
SOL
87%
11%
3%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2004 |
FIJ
1 - 2
SOL
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
TAH
0 - 4
SOL
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |