WC Play Offs Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Australia vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1993 |
CAN
2 - 1
AUS
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
AUS
3 - 0
NZL
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
NZL
0 - 1
AUS
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1993 |
KWT
3 - 1
AUS
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1993 |
KWT
0 - 1
AUS
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1993 |
CAN
2 - 1
AUS
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1993 |
MEX
8 - 0
CAN
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1993 |
CAN
2 - 2
MTQ
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 1993 |
CAN
1 - 1
CRC
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1993 |
CRC
0 - 1
CAN
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |