Australia vs Brazil U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
BRA
3 - 0
AUS
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
AUS
1 - 0
YUG
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1988 |
AUS
0 - 2
BRA
21%
27%
53%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1988 |
AUS
4 - 1
ARG
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 1988 |
AUS
3 - 0
KSA
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
BRA
4 - 0
NGA
45%
29%
27%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |