Australia vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
AUS
5 - 0
PLE
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
BGD
0 - 2
AUS
4%
15%
82%
|
88 | 36 | 52 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
LBN
0 - 5
AUS
9%
20%
71%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 0
LBN
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 2
KOR
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
UAE
1 - 1
BHR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
BHR
0 - 0
YEM
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
BHR
3 - 0
NPL
86%
11%
3%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
NPL
0 - 5
BHR
8%
19%
74%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BHR
1 - 3
JPN
11%
18%
71%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |