Aruba vs Saint Martin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+166%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MAF
0 - 0
ABW
16%
18%
66%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ABW
0 - 7
CAN
3%
8%
89%
|
37 | 79 | 42 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
CYM
1 - 3
ABW
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
BMU
5 - 0
ABW
74%
15%
10%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ABW
0 - 6
SUR
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Saint Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MAF
0 - 0
ABW
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
VIR
1 - 2
MAF
10%
15%
75%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
MAF
1 - 0
BRB
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | +5 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CYM
1 - 0
MAF
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MAF
3 - 0
CYM
8%
14%
78%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | +10 |