Aruba vs Bermuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
64.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ABW
0 - 2
KNA
13%
19%
67%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ATG
2 - 1
ABW
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
ABW
2 - 1
VCT
16%
19%
65%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +4 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
VCT
2 - 0
ABW
72%
18%
10%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
BRB
1 - 0
ABW
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BMU
0 - 0
BRB
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ATG
3 - 2
BMU
37%
25%
37%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BMU
2 - 3
BRB
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
GRD
1 - 2
BMU
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
GRD
2 - 2
BMU
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |