WC Qual. CONCACAF 1ra Ronda Final
Global 6-6
Aruba vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
ANT
3 - 0
ABW
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
ABW
0 - 3
VEN
7%
18%
76%
|
35 | 86 | 51 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2008 |
GRD
3 - 1
ABW
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
CUW
0 - 0
ABW
58%
22%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ATG
1 - 0
ABW
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LCA
2 - 2
CUW
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SUR
2 - 1
LCA
76%
16%
9%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2010 |
GUY
1 - 0
LCA
82%
13%
6%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
ATG
5 - 0
LCA
66%
19%
14%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
TTO
3 - 0
LCA
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 78 | 39 | 0 |