WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Final
Global 2-3
Aruba vs S. Vicente y las Granadinas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
64.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
VCT
2 - 0
ABW
72%
18%
10%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
BRB
1 - 0
ABW
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
ABW
0 - 2
BRB
25%
24%
52%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
CUW
0 - 0
ABW
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ABW
0 - 2
GUF
24%
23%
53%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
S. Vicente y las Granadinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
VCT
2 - 0
ABW
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
VCT
2 - 2
BRB
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
GUY
4 - 4
VCT
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
VCT
2 - 2
GUY
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
DMA
0 - 1
VCT
27%
23%
51%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |