Aruba vs Saint Kitts and Nevis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ATG
2 - 1
ABW
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
ABW
2 - 1
VCT
16%
19%
65%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +4 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
VCT
2 - 0
ABW
72%
18%
10%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
BRB
1 - 0
ABW
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
ABW
0 - 2
BRB
25%
24%
52%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Saint Kitts and Nevis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
KNA
3 - 0
BMU
37%
26%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
KNA
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
AND
0 - 1
KNA
20%
23%
58%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
SLV
4 - 1
KNA
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
KNA
2 - 2
SLV
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |