WC Qual. CONCACAF Caribe 1ra Ronda Final
Global 6-4
Aruba vs Puerto Rico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
40.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
ABW
2 - 2
SUR
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1998 |
ABW
0 - 1
ANT
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
ABW
1 - 3
DOM
29%
24%
48%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
DOM
3 - 2
ABW
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
ABW
0 - 3
GUY
57%
21%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Rico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1998 |
DOM
3 - 1
PRI
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1998 |
PRI
0 - 4
HTI
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
VCT
7 - 0
PRI
31%
23%
46%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
PRI
1 - 2
VCT
82%
12%
7%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1994 |
PRI
0 - 1
GRD
75%
15%
11%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |