Aruba vs Montserrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
GLP
0 - 0
ABW
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
ABW
3 - 1
BMU
16%
19%
65%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +4 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ABW
0 - 2
KNA
13%
19%
67%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ATG
2 - 1
ABW
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
ABW
2 - 1
VCT
16%
19%
65%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +4 |
Matches
Montserrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
MSR
1 - 0
BLZ
8%
14%
79%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MSR
1 - 2
SLV
7%
14%
79%
|
14 | 66 | 52 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
MSR
2 - 2
CUW
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | +3 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CUW
2 - 1
MSR
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
MSR
0 - 0
5%
14%
82%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | +3 |