Aruba vs Turks and Caicos Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
ABW
2 - 2
GUM
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
CUW
2 - 0
ABW
49%
23%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
BRB
2 - 1
ABW
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
DMA
3 - 2
ABW
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ABW
2 - 2
DOM
9%
16%
75%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Turks and Caicos Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
BHS
6 - 0
TCA
61%
21%
19%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
TCA
0 - 4
BHS
40%
24%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
LCA
2 - 0
TCA
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
TCA
2 - 1
LCA
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
TCA
2 - 3
BHS
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |