Aruba vs Curaçao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 0
ABW
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
ABW
5 - 1
CYM
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 4
ABW
13%
16%
71%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ABW
3 - 1
VIR
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
CYM
1 - 2
ABW
33%
21%
45%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CUW
4 - 1
BRB
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
CUW
1 - 1
SLV
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CUW
1 - 1
SLV
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CUW
5 - 3
TTO
20%
22%
58%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CUW
1 - 2
PAN
12%
20%
68%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |