WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 0-3
Aruba vs Barbados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
CUW
0 - 0
ABW
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ABW
0 - 2
GUF
24%
23%
53%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
ABW
7 - 0
VGB
86%
11%
4%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ABW
1 - 0
TCA
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
ABW
2 - 2
GUM
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2015 |
BRB
1 - 3
KNA
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 4
BRB
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
BRB
0 - 1
VIR
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BRB
2 - 2
VCT
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
BRB
3 - 1
VCT
41%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |