Aruba vs Antigua and Barbuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
70.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
GUY
4 - 2
ABW
71%
17%
13%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
ABW
0 - 6
JAM
3%
8%
90%
|
37 | 78 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
JAM
2 - 0
ABW
86%
11%
3%
|
37 | 78 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
ATG
2 - 1
ABW
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ABW
0 - 1
GUY
22%
21%
57%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ATG
0 - 2
JAM
8%
17%
74%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
GUY
5 - 1
ATG
33%
23%
44%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
ATG
2 - 1
GUY
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
ATG
2 - 1
ABW
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
JAM
6 - 0
ATG
77%
17%
7%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | -1 |