WC Qual. CONCACAF 1ra Ronda Final
Global 0-4
Aruba vs Antigua and Barbuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
41.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
SUR
8 - 1
ABW
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ABW
1 - 2
SUR
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
SUR
6 - 0
ABW
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
ABW
0 - 2
SUR
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BRB
4 - 0
ABW
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
BRB
3 - 2
ATG
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ATG
2 - 0
KNA
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
KNA
3 - 0
ATG
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
ATG
1 - 3
GLP
19%
22%
59%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
DOM
2 - 0
ATG
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |