Armenia vs Turkmenistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
GEO
0 - 2
ARM
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
KAZ
5 - 4
ARM
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
HUN
2 - 0
ARM
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ARM
0 - 4
ESP
5%
15%
80%
|
73 | 99 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
NIR
0 - 1
ARM
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
TKM
3 - 1
IDN
53%
21%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
YEM
1 - 2
TKM
21%
21%
58%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
TKM
2 - 0
LKA
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
TKM
3 - 0
SYR
36%
23%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
SYR
1 - 1
TKM
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |