Armenia vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
71.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 1
ARM
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
ARM
86%
11%
3%
|
71 | 92 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 3
FRA
9%
20%
71%
|
71 | 93 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ARM
1 - 1
SRB
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DEN
2 - 1
ARM
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
CPV
87%
10%
3%
|
92 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
SRB
76%
17%
8%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
ARG
33%
25%
42%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
ARM
86%
11%
3%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
DEN
0 - 1
POR
34%
25%
41%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |