Armenia vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
GTM
1 - 1
ARM
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
AND
0 - 3
ARM
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
ARM
2 - 3
FRA
4%
18%
78%
|
68 | 99 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
RUS
2 - 0
ARM
89%
8%
3%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
EST
2 - 0
ARM
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1999 |
GRC
2 - 0
MDA
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
MDA
1 - 1
TUR
24%
25%
50%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
HUN
1 - 1
MDA
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
MDA
0 - 0
FIN
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
GER
6 - 1
MDA
95%
4%
1%
|
68 | 94 | 26 | 0 |