Armenia vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
50%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MKD
3 - 1
ARM
55%
23%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
LVA
2 - 0
ARM
17%
20%
63%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 1
CRO
9%
18%
72%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 1
ARM
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
ARM
2 - 1
LVA
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 1
CRO
17%
24%
59%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
4 - 0
GIB
85%
12%
3%
|
85 | 40 | 45 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
LVA
0 - 2
WAL
17%
25%
58%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 0
KOR
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
WAL
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |