Armenia vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2001 |
UZB
0 - 2
ARM
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
BLR
2 - 1
ARM
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
ARM
2 - 3
UKR
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
NOR
0 - 0
ARM
92%
6%
2%
|
70 | 92 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
LTU
1 - 2
ARM
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
POL
0 - 0
WAL
57%
23%
19%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
WAL
1 - 1
NOR
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
BLR
2 - 1
WAL
16%
22%
62%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2000 |
POR
3 - 0
WAL
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2000 |
WAL
0 - 3
BRA
9%
19%
72%
|
85 | 100 | 15 | 0 |