Armenia vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
ARM
0 - 1
BEL
12%
21%
68%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
CYP
2 - 0
ARM
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
ROU
2 - 0
ARM
93%
6%
1%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
AND
0 - 3
ARM
25%
23%
52%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
CZE
4 - 1
ARM
96%
3%
1%
|
71 | 94 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
FIN
1 - 1
POR
20%
26%
55%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
POL
1 - 3
FIN
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
FIN
1 - 2
NIR
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
SWE
0 - 0
FIN
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
FIN
2 - 2
BLR
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |