Armenia vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
CYP
2 - 0
ARM
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
ROU
2 - 0
ARM
93%
6%
1%
|
71 | 93 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
AND
0 - 3
ARM
25%
23%
52%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
CZE
4 - 1
ARM
96%
3%
1%
|
70 | 95 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
ARM
0 - 1
NED
4%
13%
83%
|
70 | 98 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 0
KAZ
91%
7%
2%
|
92 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
BEL
3 - 3
TUR
57%
24%
18%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
SVK
1 - 1
BEL
28%
27%
45%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
KSA
1 - 2
BEL
27%
27%
46%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
LUX
0 - 2
BEL
13%
22%
65%
|
92 | 31 | 61 | 0 |