Argentina vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1977 |
ARG
3 - 1
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1977 |
ARG
1 - 1
IRN
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
ARG
5 - 1
HUN
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
ARG
0 - 0
SUN
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
ARG
1 - 0
PER
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1977 |
YUG
0 - 2
ROU
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
YUG
1 - 2
BRD
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1977 |
YUG
2 - 4
SUN
52%
26%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1977 |
MEX
0 - 1
YUG
38%
27%
36%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1977 |
MEX
5 - 1
YUG
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |