Argentina vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1968 |
ARG
1 - 0
POL
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1968 |
CHI
2 - 1
ARG
39%
26%
36%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
ARG
4 - 0
CHI
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
PER
1 - 1
ARG
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1968 |
PER
2 - 2
ARG
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1968 |
BRA
3 - 2
YUG
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1968 |
BRA
3 - 3
YUG
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
YUG
0 - 0
ESP
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1968 |
BEL
3 - 0
YUG
43%
24%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1968 |
YUG
9 - 1
FIN
86%
9%
4%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | +1 |