Argentina vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1991 |
BRA
1 - 1
ARG
69%
20%
12%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1991 |
ENG
2 - 2
ARG
64%
22%
14%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1991 |
ARG
1 - 1
SUN
41%
29%
30%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
USA
0 - 1
ARG
24%
27%
49%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
ARG
3 - 3
BRA
30%
29%
41%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
2 - 0
VEN
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
CHI
5 - 0
VEN
89%
8%
3%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
BRA
6 - 0
VEN
96%
3%
1%
|
60 | 95 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1989 |
VEN
1 - 3
CHI
8%
24%
68%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1989 |
VEN
0 - 4
BRA
4%
17%
80%
|
61 | 95 | 34 | 0 |